Tell City
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #75
Brown County Semi-State Rank #14
Crawford County Regional Rank #4
Jasper Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating KY/IN Border Clash Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Lincoln Trail Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/17 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 726 829 691 671 866 834 767 741 832 716
Team Adjusted Rating 799 691 671 866 834 767 741 832 716
State RankRunnerSeason Rating KY/IN Border Clash Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Lincoln Trail Invitational Pocket Athletic Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
360  Brayden Lain 11 17:29 17:21 16:49 17:10 17:25 17:31 17:17 17:27 18:28 17:41
416  Lachlan Russell 10 17:36 18:22 19:32 17:44 17:45 18:08 18:27 18:34 17:51 17:27
508  Alden Marion 9 17:47 17:54 17:47 17:26 18:45 17:53 17:26 17:46 17:41 17:50
663  Lewis Kaufman 12 18:02 18:52 17:55 17:58 18:30 18:12 18:02 17:38 18:12 17:59
785  Orrin Kaiser 9 18:14 18:04 18:29 18:52 19:28 18:29 18:54 18:49 18:05
848  Alec Kaufman 12 18:19 18:13 18:11 18:28 18:45 18:27 17:55 18:21 18:33
983  Ayden Zuelly 9 18:31 18:37 18:05 18:27 18:56 18:52 18:39 18:51 18:24 18:21




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 15.6 378 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.0 5.5 10.9 24.4 23.2 18.7 7.6 3.2 1.0
Regionals 100% 4.3 121 0.2 13.0 48.6 34.6 3.5 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.8 67 1.3 22.2 76.5 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Lain 100% 67.4 94.1%
Lachlan Russell 100% 76.8 83.7%
Alden Marion 100% 92.6 54.8%
Lewis Kaufman 100% 111.4 14.7%
Orrin Kaiser 100% 125.4 2.1%
Alec Kaufman 100% 130.1 1.0%
Ayden Zuelly 100% 140.8 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Lain 100% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.8 5.7 6.9 8.0 8.5 8.0 8.1 7.8 7.3 6.8 5.9 5.3 4.0 3.6 3.2 100.0%
Lachlan Russell 100% 21.2 0.2 1.3 2.4 3.6 4.8 4.9 5.1 6.1 6.2 7.1 7.2 6.5 6.8 5.9 5.7 100.0%
Alden Marion 100% 27.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.5 3.1 3.3 4.0 4.6 5.3 5.9 100.0%
Lewis Kaufman 100% 34.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.2 100.0%
Orrin Kaiser 100% 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Alec Kaufman 100% 40.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Ayden Zuelly 100% 44.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Lain 6.6 0.0 1.5 20.8 18.1 16.0 12.9 9.7 7.2 5.0 3.5 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1
Lachlan Russell 8.7 0.3 5.4 10.6 12.0 13.1 12.7 11.7 9.3 7.6 6.0 4.6 3.2 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
Alden Marion 12.4 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.0 4.7 7.3 8.5 10.2 10.4 10.4 10.5 9.8 8.7 7.4 5.3 1.9 0.4 0.1
Lewis Kaufman 17.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.5 2.7 4.3 5.9 7.6 10.7 13.5 16.7 19.9 10.2 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.0
Orrin Kaiser 19.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.3 4.1 7.4 13.7 24.4 22.0 13.8 6.8 2.2 0.3
Alec Kaufman 20.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.8 4.1 7.9 16.1 24.6 22.0 14.9 5.6 1.0
Ayden Zuelly 22.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.6 6.8 17.2 26.8 32.8 11.1